
Grain futures fell on Sept. 20, 2021, as a broad risk-off selloff hit commodity and equity markets over concerns about a Chinese property developer.
December corn dropped 5.5 cents to $5.2175 and November soybeans fell 21.5 cents to $12.625, with soymeal and soyoil also lower. USDA reported that 10% of the US corn crop was harvested.
Risk-off selling and rising harvest hedge pressure weigh on feed grain and oilseed prices. Hurricane Ida damage to Gulf export terminals limits the near-term export demand that could offset this.
在过去 69 次看跌的宏观事件之后,小麦(SRW) 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 -0.5%(35% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -2.6% 至 +0.8%),20 个交易日内为 -0.7%。
在过去 273 次看跌的宏观事件之后,大豆 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 -0.4%(44% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -2.4% 至 +1.4%),20 个交易日内为 -0.5%。
在过去 301 次看跌的宏观事件之后,玉米 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 -0.1%(47% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -2.2% 至 +1.3%),20 个交易日内为 +0.2%。
在过去 117 次看跌的宏观事件之后,豆粕 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 -0.6%(41% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -2.5% 至 +1.7%),20 个交易日内为 +0.5%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件;仅描述已发生的情况,不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。
A broad risk-off selloff on Sept. 20 over Chinese property developer concerns hit commodity markets including grains, which plausibly explains the outsized one-day drop in wheat via sentiment and fund liquidation.
Sept. 20 broad risk-off selloff across commodities and equities (Chinese developer concerns) hit grain futures and Dec corn fell, though the quoted 5.5-cent drop is far smaller than a 5.5% move, so the sentiment mechanism explains direction but not full magnitude.