
On August 15, 2023, December corn fell 12.5 cents to a 11-month low and November soybeans fell 20.75 cents. Wheat contracts also hit multi-month lows in a broad risk-off session.
The selloff followed weak Chinese economic data.
Weaker Chinese economic data signals lower demand for raw commodities, which pressures grain and oilseed prices. Soymeal led the complex lower.
在过去 301 次看跌的宏观事件之后,玉米 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 -0.1%(47% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -2.2% 至 +1.3%),20 个交易日内为 +0.2%。
在过去 273 次看跌的宏观事件之后,大豆 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 -0.4%(44% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -2.4% 至 +1.4%),20 个交易日内为 -0.5%。
在过去 117 次看跌的宏观事件之后,豆粕 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 -0.6%(41% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -2.5% 至 +1.7%),20 个交易日内为 +0.5%。
在过去 69 次看跌的宏观事件之后,小麦(SRW) 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 -0.5%(35% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -2.6% 至 +0.8%),20 个交易日内为 -0.7%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件;仅描述已发生的情况,不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。
Broad risk-off selloff on Aug 15 following weak Chinese data pushed November soybeans down about 20 cents, driving sentiment-led losses in the soy complex including meal.
Broad risk-off selloff on Aug 15 with November soybeans down 20.75 cents and weak Chinese data (demand/sentiment) likely dragged soybean meal lower in the same window.
Broad risk-off selloff tied to weak Chinese economic data hit soybeans (Nov down 20.75 cents) and other grains, a demand and sentiment channel for the largest soybean importer; the date is Aug 15 rather than Aug 14, so the timing is imperfect.
Broad risk-off selloff after weak Chinese data pushed soybeans and grains sharply lower, but it is dated Aug 15, after the Aug 14 move window, so it is a related sentiment signal rather than a confirmed driver.