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Brazil's real fell 1.2% on Monday after President Lula unveiled a 10-year industrial development plan using state credits and subsidies. Investors sold the currency, seeing the plan as a risk to fiscal health and moving into dollars for protection.
A weaker real makes Brazilian exports such as soybeans, soymeal and corn cheaper in dollar terms, which can support Brazilian selling pressure on world feed markets. Fiscal concerns could also keep the currency weak for longer.
在过去 301 次看涨的宏观事件之后,巴西雷亚尔(每 USD 的 BRL) 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.4%(57% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -1.2% 至 +1.7%),20 个交易日内为 +1.0%。
在过去 117 次看跌的宏观事件之后,豆粕 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 -0.6%(41% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -2.5% 至 +1.7%),20 个交易日内为 +0.5%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件;仅描述已发生的情况,不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。