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The 2018 European heatwave cut EU wheat output by about 10 million tonnes, or roughly 10%, according to the FAO, with France losing over 20% of its grain harvest. Ukraine's wheat crop fell to 5 million tonnes, about 75% below normal.
A Met Office study links the heatwave to climate change and the article discusses longer-term climate risks for wheat growers.
Sharp European and Ukrainian wheat losses tighten global wheat supply and support export prices, particularly for feed-grade wheat that substitutes for corn. The longer-term climate risk argument adds to the case for a firm wheat price outlook.
internationalmilling.comRoger Gilbert2018年12月6日在过去 1,072 次看涨的天气事件之后，小麦(SRW) 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.2%（55% 上涨；中间一半区间为 -1.4% 至 +2.3%），20 个交易日内为 +0.3%。
历史可比事件尚不足，暂无法给出历史解读。
在过去 445 次中性的天气事件之后，玉米 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.1%（52% 上涨；中间一半区间为 -1.4% 至 +1.6%），20 个交易日内为 +0.7%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件；仅描述已发生的情况，不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。
