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A Science Advances study finds U.S. agriculture is becoming more sensitive to climate in Midwestern states, due to rising climate sensitivity of nonirrigated cereal and oilseed crops and growing crop specialization. The analysis uses state-level productivity data and climate records from 1960 to 2004.
Greater weather sensitivity in Corn Belt production implies larger yield swings from climate shocks, which can add price volatility to corn and soybean supplies over time.
在过去 445 次中性的天气事件之后,玉米 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.1%(52% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -1.4% 至 +1.6%),20 个交易日内为 +0.7%。
在过去 324 次中性的天气事件之后,大豆 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.0%(52% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -1.4% 至 +1.7%),20 个交易日内为 +0.7%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件;仅描述已发生的情况,不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。