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Indian government sources said the 2022-23 wheat harvest estimate could be cut by 1-2 million mt from 112.2 million mt after unseasonal showers and hail damaged crops in Punjab, Uttar Pradesh and Madhya Pradesh. Market analysts already view the official estimate as too high, with independent expectations of 107-108 million mt.
Lower Indian wheat output reduces exportable supply and could firm global wheat prices, though the export ban limits direct export effects.
ukragroconsult.com2023年4月3日在过去 1,072 次看涨的天气事件之后，小麦(SRW) 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.2%（55% 上涨；中间一半区间为 -1.4% 至 +2.3%），20 个交易日内为 +0.3%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件；仅描述已发生的情况，不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。
