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AgRural reports Brazilian soybean planting at 98% complete, with some early harvesting underway. Parana, the second-largest producer, has municipalities with over 20 days without rain, and some analysts speculate losses of up to 5 million tons if Mato Grosso do Sul is also hit.
Potential yield losses in Parana and Mato Grosso do Sul could reduce export availability, while farmers selling 30-40% of output before harvest may add near-term supply pressure.
在过去 1,079 次看涨的天气事件之后,大豆 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.3%(54% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -1.4% 至 +2.0%),20 个交易日内为 +0.9%。
在过去 453 次看涨的天气事件之后,豆粕 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.5%(55% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -1.6% 至 +2.7%),20 个交易日内为 +0.5%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件;仅描述已发生的情况,不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。