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A prolonged drought in Rio Grande do Sul is limiting Brazil's soybean output potential. Farmers' group Aprosoja-RS said the worst case could cut the state's crop by 40% to 12.6 million tonnes from a 21 million tonne potential, putting national estimates above 150 million tonnes at risk.
A sharp cut in Brazil's southern soybean crop would reduce export availability and support soybean and meal prices.
在过去 1,079 次看涨的天气事件之后,大豆 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.3%(54% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -1.4% 至 +2.0%),20 个交易日内为 +0.9%。
在过去 453 次看涨的天气事件之后,豆粕 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.5%(55% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -1.6% 至 +2.7%),20 个交易日内为 +0.5%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件;仅描述已发生的情况,不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。