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Extreme dryness in Brazil's central and northern savanna region has slowed soybean planting, with Mato Grosso expected to plant well below its usual 5% by Oct. 1.
Parana's planting is also running at roughly 1% complete, the slowest start in modern times, as producers wait for 1 to 3 inches of rain.
A slow planting start pushes back the harvest and raises the risk of a smaller Brazilian soybean crop, which supports soybean and meal prices as Brazil competes for export share.
在过去 1,079 次看涨的天气事件之后,大豆 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.3%(54% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -1.4% 至 +2.0%),20 个交易日内为 +0.9%。
在过去 453 次看涨的天气事件之后,豆粕 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.5%(55% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -1.6% 至 +2.7%),20 个交易日内为 +0.5%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件;仅描述已发生的情况,不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。