
Dry weather in Rio Grande do Sul has slowed soybean planting, which was about 80% complete. Farmers in the Sao Borja area are waiting for moisture before planting the rest.
Forecast rain on December 27 and 28 could lift yields to 47-48 sacks per hectare, but without it yields could fall toward last year's very poor levels.
Delayed planting and possible yield losses in a state that normally contributes about 15% of Brazil's soybeans add some upside price risk. The effect is limited because the rest of Brazil's crop is progressing well.
在过去 1,079 次看涨的天气事件之后,大豆 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.3%(54% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -1.4% 至 +2.0%),20 个交易日内为 +0.9%。
在过去 55 次中性的天气事件之后,豆粕 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 -0.1%(47% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -1.7% 至 +1.5%),20 个交易日内为 +0.1%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件;仅描述已发生的情况,不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。