
DTN's senior ag meteorologist says its harvest forecast calls for a normal or average first-freeze date in many Midwest regions, easing early-freeze concerns. He warns that a freeze in the last 10 days of September would damage crops in areas where development is behind, and an October frost is likely in the southern and eastern Corn Belt where planting was very late.
NOAA forecasts below-normal harvest temperatures and above-average precipitation for the north and central Midwest.
Late planting combined with a possible early freeze threatens yields and supports corn and soybean prices, but DTN's more benign freeze outlook limits the upside. Wet harvest conditions could also delay field work and add to logistics strain.
在过去 1,465 次看涨的天气事件之后,玉米 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.2%(54% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -1.4% 至 +1.9%),20 个交易日内为 +0.9%。
在过去 1,079 次看涨的天气事件之后,大豆 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.3%(54% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -1.4% 至 +2.0%),20 个交易日内为 +0.9%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件;仅描述已发生的情况,不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。