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A Farm Progress article reports that the NOAA Climate Prediction Center's July 31 30-day outlook calls for below-average temperatures and above-average rainfall across the Midwest in August. The 90-day outlook shows above-normal precipitation for Kansas, Nebraska, the Dakotas and eastern Iowa and Minnesota, and AccuWeather projects a significant decline in the 2019 corn and soybean yield from last year.
Wet, late-planted conditions and a projected yield decline tighten the expected US corn and soybean supply, which supports prices. Late-planted cotton is also at risk, which could affect cottonseed meal supply.
farmprogress.comP.J. Griekspoor2019年8月15日在过去 1,465 次看涨的天气事件之后，玉米 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.2%（54% 上涨；中间一半区间为 -1.4% 至 +1.9%），20 个交易日内为 +0.9%。
在过去 1,079 次看涨的天气事件之后，大豆 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.3%（54% 上涨；中间一半区间为 -1.4% 至 +2.0%），20 个交易日内为 +0.9%。
历史可比事件尚不足，暂无法给出历史解读。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件；仅描述已发生的情况，不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。
