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The Van Trump Report says the US Climate Prediction Center now gives a 61% chance of La Niña returning between November and January, up from 53% in April. It also gives La Niña a 59% chance of continuing through the summer.
Forecasters warn of a rare third consecutive year with more extreme weather risks for crops.
Persistent La Niña conditions raise the odds of drought in key grain regions, which supports corn prices through the risk premium.
在过去 1,465 次看涨的天气事件之后,玉米 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.2%(54% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -1.4% 至 +1.9%),20 个交易日内为 +0.9%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件;仅描述已发生的情况,不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。