The most-active CBOT soybean futures contract touched its highest price since June 2018 on Thursday, driven by short covering and hopes of increased Chinese purchases. Details on the timing and size of Chinese buying under the Phase 1 trade deal remain unknown, and some analysts doubt China will reach the $40-50 billion purchase target.
Strength in Malaysian palm oil also supported soy, while favorable South American weather limited gains.
Expected Chinese buying under the Phase 1 deal lifts US soybean prices, which raises the cost of soybean meal feed inputs, though doubts about volume cap the rally.
在过去 696 次看涨的贸易事件之后,大豆 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.3%(54% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -1.3% 至 +1.9%),20 个交易日内为 +0.7%。
在过去 342 次看涨的贸易事件之后,豆粕 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.1%(51% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -1.1% 至 +2.6%),20 个交易日内为 +0.6%。
在过去 133 次看涨的贸易事件之后,棕榈油 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.7%(64% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -0.8% 至 +2.3%),20 个交易日内为 +1.7%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件;仅描述已发生的情况,不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。