Informa Agribusiness Intelligence forecasts soybean oil prices could rise sharply in 2018 if the US imposes countervailing and antidumping duties on biodiesel from Argentina and Indonesia. US biodiesel imports reached 677 million gallons in 2016, and tariffs would force domestic production to rise to meet EPA volume requirements.
Duties on subsidized biodiesel imports would cut import supply and lift soybean oil demand from domestic producers, with knock-on support for palm and canola oil as substitute feedstocks. The effect depends on the final duty rates, which remain undecided.
在过去 224 次看涨的贸易事件之后,豆油 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.4%(54% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -1.5% 至 +2.1%),20 个交易日内为 -0.5%。
在过去 133 次看涨的贸易事件之后,棕榈油 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.7%(64% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -0.8% 至 +2.3%),20 个交易日内为 +1.7%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件;仅描述已发生的情况,不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。