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Chicago soybean futures reached their highest level since mid-2024 in mid-March. Spot barge prices at the US Gulf fell on uncertainty over Chinese demand, and Brazilian supplies were cheaper.
Cargill suspended shipments of Brazilian soybeans to China over inspection changes.
Futures strength is set against weak physical export demand and Chinese buying uncertainty ahead of a Trump-Xi summit, so the price rally may not hold without firm export sales.
在过去 696 次看涨的贸易事件之后,大豆 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.3%(54% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -1.3% 至 +1.9%),20 个交易日内为 +0.7%。
在过去 224 次中性的贸易事件之后,豆粕 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 -0.2%(43% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -1.7% 至 +1.2%),20 个交易日内为 -0.2%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件;仅描述已发生的情况,不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。