Global nitrogen fertilizer prices are easing as the market centre shifts to China, with urea rising modestly in August in several origins. Ammonia prices have fallen west of Suez, with Tampa contracts dropping from $825/t in May to $555/t in August, while eastern prices stabilised near $450-460/t.
China plans a third export quota of 2 million tons.
Planned Chinese export quota additions will add supply to the region and pressure urea and ammonia prices, while high European gas costs limit the downside in some markets.
在过去 34 次看跌的政策事件之后,尿素 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 -0.8%(38% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -3.3% 至 +1.8%),20 个交易日内为 -4.5%。
在过去 29 次中性的政策事件之后,DAP 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.2%(55% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -0.4% 至 +1.3%),20 个交易日内为 +1.9%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件;仅描述已发生的情况,不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。