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India's fertilizer secretary Arun Singhal expects global prices of urea and DAP to soften further, which should cut the government's FY24 fertilizer subsidy well below the record Rs 2.45 trillion estimated for FY23. Urea has fallen by a third since October.
Future prices will depend on the Russia-Ukraine conflict.
Expectations of further softening in urea and DAP prices point to continued bearish pressure on fertilizer import costs for India.
在过去 34 次看跌的政策事件之后,尿素 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 -0.8%(38% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -3.3% 至 +1.8%),20 个交易日内为 -4.5%。
在过去 50 次看跌的政策事件之后,DAP 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.9%(62% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -0.1% 至 +1.6%),20 个交易日内为 +0.9%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件;仅描述已发生的情况,不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。