
CME lean hog futures fell to their lowest level in over a week on April 29, 2024, before ending unchanged, as avian influenza fears spread. Live and feeder cattle also ended lower.
USDA had reported H5N1 in nine states' dairy herds but no cases in pigs.
Fear of HPAI spreading into hog herds creates risk premium that can pressure hog futures and fund positioning. Lower hog and cattle values weigh on feeding economics and feed demand.
在过去 117 次看跌的疫病事件之后,生猪(瘦肉型) 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 -0.6%(36% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -2.2% 至 +1.6%),20 个交易日内为 +1.2%。
在过去 70 次看跌的疫病事件之后,活牛 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.0%(51% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -1.7% 至 +1.0%),20 个交易日内为 +0.4%。
在过去 46 次看跌的疫病事件之后,架子牛 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.3%(54% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -2.3% 至 +1.6%),20 个交易日内为 +1.8%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件;仅描述已发生的情况,不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。
Reports that live and feeder cattle closed lower on April 29-30 amid spreading avian influenza fears point to sentiment-driven selling that matches the timing of the drop.