
CME feeder cattle rallied after the first confirmed US screwworm case was identified in South Texas. August feeder cattle rose to 353.375 cents per pound and live cattle rose to 241.525 cents per pound after multi-month lows earlier in the session.
Lean hog futures slipped.
The rally suggests traders focused on the potential for lower US cattle supply rather than demand fears. A possible outbreak could cost Texas up to $1.8 billion, keeping cattle prices sensitive to new cases.
在过去 122 次看涨的疫病事件之后,FCATTLE 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.4%(60% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -1.0% 至 +1.6%),20 个交易日内为 +2.0%。
在过去 148 次看涨的疫病事件之后,LCATTLE 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.4%(62% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -0.5% 至 +1.2%),20 个交易日内为 +1.4%。
在过去 117 次看跌的疫病事件之后,HOGS 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 -0.6%(36% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -2.2% 至 +1.6%),20 个交易日内为 +1.2%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件;仅描述已发生的情况,不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。
Confirms CME feeder futures rallied on the first US screwworm case after multi-month lows, a supply-risk and short-covering dynamic.