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A Kansas City Fed analysis describes how COVID-19 outbreaks at meatpacking plants from April to June closed or slowed many beef and pork facilities, cutting meat output. The disruptions created oversupply for livestock producers and higher retail prices, and shifts from foodservice to retail created logistical strain.
Lingering processing capacity shortfalls and shifting demand channels keep the spread between live cattle and wholesale beef volatile, affecting cattle and hog margins.
kansascityfed.orgCortney Cowley2020年7月31日在过去 37 次看跌的宏观事件之后，活牛 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 -1.1%（30% 上涨；中间一半区间为 -4.3% 至 +0.4%），20 个交易日内为 -0.4%。
在过去 17 次看跌的宏观事件之后，生猪(瘦肉型) 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 -1.0%（35% 上涨；中间一半区间为 -2.5% 至 +0.8%），20 个交易日内为 -1.6%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件；仅描述已发生的情况，不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。
