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COVID-19 uncertainty and rapid financial market swings have hit the beef cattle sector, with live cattle contracts losing about 25 percent of their value between mid-January and late March. Panic buying has drained supply chains and created a false sense of increased demand, according to University of Arkansas extension experts.
Cattle futures have been tracking broader financial market losses rather than fundamentals, so feeder and fed cattle prices are exposed to macro sell-offs. Feed buyers should expect continued price volatility while demand signals remain distorted.
uaex.uada.edu2020年3月31日在过去 37 次看跌的宏观事件之后，活牛 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 -1.1%（30% 上涨；中间一半区间为 -4.3% 至 +0.4%），20 个交易日内为 -0.4%。
在过去 27 次看跌的宏观事件之后，架子牛 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 -0.9%（37% 上涨；中间一半区间为 -3.7% 至 +0.4%），20 个交易日内为 0.0%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件；仅描述已发生的情况，不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。
