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Cattle futures have trended higher since April after a March sell-off tied to COVID-19 demand fears and plant closures. The July cattle on feed report was neutral versus expectations, showing cattle on feed at 100% of last year and heavier supplies lingering in feedlots.
Large numbers of cattle held in feedlots longer signal ample near-term supply, a bearish factor that likely keeps October futures in a consolidation range of 101 to 107.
在过去 78 次中性的报告事件之后,活牛 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.2%(54% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -1.0% 至 +1.0%),20 个交易日内为 +0.7%。
在过去 126 次看跌的报告事件之后,架子牛 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.1%(52% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -1.3% 至 +2.0%),20 个交易日内为 +0.6%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件;仅描述已发生的情况,不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。