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Harlan Hughes projects feeder cattle prices using FAPRI spring 2018 forecasts, which suggest annual slaughter cattle prices may average $115 per cwt in 2018, $113 in 2019 and $110 in 2020, with the cycle bottoming around 2020. Drought in cow country is identified as the main factor that could change these projections.
Long-run forecasts of lower slaughter prices through 2020 signal sustained pressure on cattle values and cattle-feeding margins. Drought in cow country could alter the outlook and affect feed demand.
beefmagazine.comHarlan Hughes 22018年6月8日在过去 126 次看跌的报告事件之后，架子牛 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.1%（52% 上涨；中间一半区间为 -1.3% 至 +2.0%），20 个交易日内为 +0.6%。
在过去 144 次看跌的报告事件之后，活牛 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 -0.1%（49% 上涨；中间一半区间为 -1.1% 至 +0.9%），20 个交易日内为 +0.5%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件；仅描述已发生的情况，不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。
