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Chicago wheat futures fell back on October 11, 2022 after a three-month high the previous day, as escalating Russia-Ukraine war signs raised doubts about Black Sea grain trade. Russian Deputy Prime Minister Abramchenko suggested Moscow could scrap its grain export quota for the second half of the season given a bumper harvest.
Algeria's OAIC bought an estimated 400,000-480,000 tonnes of milling wheat, likely Russian-sourced.
Expectations of large Russian export supplies and a possible relaxed quota weigh on world wheat prices, offsetting war-related supply risk. Lower wheat prices make wheat cheaper as a feed ingredient relative to corn.
agriculture.comReuters2022年10月11日在过去 80 次看跌的地缘政治事件之后，小麦(SRW) 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 -0.4%（44% 上涨；中间一半区间为 -1.4% 至 +1.9%），20 个交易日内为 -0.5%。
在过去 16 次看跌的地缘政治事件之后，小麦(HRW) 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 -3.0%（13% 上涨；中间一半区间为 -4.3% 至 -1.9%），20 个交易日内为 -0.5%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件；仅描述已发生的情况，不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。
