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Russia withdrew support for the grain deal in late October after a drone attack on its Black Sea fleet, then re-engaged four days later. A record convoy moved through the corridor in the interim, and the renewal was agreed for 120 days with no major concessions to Ukraine or Russia.
Renewal keeps Ukrainian grain and fertiliser exports moving, which should ease global wheat and corn prices. Russia's push for sanctions relief on its own exports remains an unresolved risk.
在过去 80 次看跌的地缘政治事件之后,小麦(SRW) 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 -0.4%(44% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -1.4% 至 +1.9%),20 个交易日内为 -0.5%。
在过去 87 次看跌的地缘政治事件之后,玉米 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.1%(51% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -1.5% 至 +2.1%),20 个交易日内为 +0.3%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件;仅描述已发生的情况,不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。