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Russia is gradually resuming wheat exports from its Black Sea ports, with all five grain terminals exporting. Azov Sea navigation remains restricted, and Russian wheat prices are volatile at about $415 per tonne FOB.
Ukraine's exports are slow and rely on rail.
Resumed Russian shipments add supply back to a tight world wheat market, which eases upward pressure on prices. Continued restrictions and volatility limit how far prices fall.
在过去 80 次看跌的地缘政治事件之后,小麦(SRW) 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 -0.4%(44% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -1.4% 至 +1.9%),20 个交易日内为 -0.5%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件;仅描述已发生的情况,不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。