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Reuters analysis of industry data shows Russia could quickly restart up to 80% of its grain terminal capacity in the Black Sea and Sea of Azov if diplomatic efforts produce a ceasefire between Russia and Ukraine. The capacity is currently suspended or reduced because of mutual attacks on ports and shipping.
A ceasefire that restores Russian terminal capacity would release large volumes of wheat and corn into export markets, easing the supply squeeze and pressuring prices lower.
在过去 80 次看跌的地缘政治事件之后,小麦(SRW) 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 -0.4%(44% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -1.4% 至 +1.9%),20 个交易日内为 -0.5%。
在过去 87 次看跌的地缘政治事件之后,玉米 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.1%(51% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -1.5% 至 +2.1%),20 个交易日内为 +0.3%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件;仅描述已发生的情况,不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。