
May soybean futures fell the 70-cent daily limit on March 16 after Trump threatened to delay the Xi summit unless Beijing helped open the Strait of Hormuz. Soybean meal, soyoil, corn and wheat also fell sharply, with US soybeans trading at a premium to Brazil.
Threats to the China purchase program, which is tied to a 25 MMT annual commitment, directly weigh on US soybean and meal prices. The premium over Brazilian beans makes the US market sensitive to Sino-US tensions.
在过去 803 次看跌的贸易事件之后,大豆 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.0%(51% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -1.7% 至 +1.7%),20 个交易日内为 +0.9%。
在过去 384 次看跌的贸易事件之后,豆粕 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 -0.2%(47% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -1.7% 至 +1.6%),20 个交易日内为 -0.5%。
在过去 152 次看跌的贸易事件之后,豆油 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 -0.2%(47% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -2.1% 至 +2.1%),20 个交易日内为 -0.1%。
在过去 683 次看跌的贸易事件之后,玉米 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 -0.2%(47% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -1.7% 至 +1.6%),20 个交易日内为 +0.3%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件;仅描述已发生的情况,不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。
May soybeans fell the 70-cent limit after Trump threatened to delay the Xi summit unless Beijing helped open the Strait of Hormuz, a demand and sentiment shock for US exports.
Trump's threat to delay the China summit unless Beijing helped open Hormuz triggered limit-down moves across soybeans and soyoil.