
The June STEO projected limited crude price increases as OPEC, Russia and US output grows. Private analysts were more bullish, with WTI gaining about $10 since mid-May and new highs set almost daily, while product prices lagged crude.
Crude and distillate direction feed into diesel, freight and energy-linked input costs for feed buyers. The divergence between crude and products suggests product prices may soften relative to crude.
在过去 487 次看涨的宏观事件之后,原油(WTI) 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +1.0%(60% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -2.0% 至 +4.0%),20 个交易日内为 +1.5%。
在过去 11 次中性的宏观事件之后,ULSD / 柴油 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +1.8%(64% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -0.6% 至 +4.1%),20 个交易日内为 +3.9%。
在过去 37 次中性的宏观事件之后,天然气 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 -0.1%(49% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -4.2% 至 +12.9%),20 个交易日内为 -1.1%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件;仅描述已发生的情况,不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。