
Rystad Energy expects around 14.7 million tonnes of additional LNG supply in 2025, mainly from North America and Africa, which should lower prices later in the year. TTF prices remain above $15/MMBtu as Europe depletes storage rapidly, and US tariffs on Chinese goods and retaliatory duties on US LNG add uncertainty.
Elevated European gas prices and tight storage keep energy costs high for nitrogen fertilizer producers, while new supply later in the year could ease prices and trade frictions could shift LNG flows.
在过去 37 次中性的宏观事件之后,天然气 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 -0.1%(49% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -4.2% 至 +12.9%),20 个交易日内为 -1.1%。
在过去 10 次中性的宏观事件之后,尿素 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 -0.3%(40% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -0.7% 至 +2.5%),20 个交易日内为 -3.9%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件;仅描述已发生的情况,不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。