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Brazil's weather office has formally confirmed La Niña, which is expected to bring dry weather between December and February, the period when the first corn crop develops. The report also notes that high fertilizer prices may amplify yield losses, and that Chicago corn traded near 5.4 USD/bu this season.
Dry weather during Brazil's first corn crop development raises the risk of yield losses and tighter export supply, supporting corn prices. Reduced fertilizer use due to high costs could worsen the yield impact.
在过去 1,465 次看涨的天气事件之后,玉米 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.2%(54% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -1.4% 至 +1.9%),20 个交易日内为 +0.9%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件;仅描述已发生的情况,不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。