
CZ app reports growing concern among Brazilian grain producers that La Niña could develop in the second half of 2024. NOAA gives over 80% odds for September to November, and the south of Brazil, including Paraná, Santa Catarina and Rio Grande do Sul, is expected to face drought risk during soybean and first-crop corn planting and growth.
Drought risk in southern Brazil during the 2024/25 soybean and corn season could cut output from a major exporter. That would tighten global supply and support soybean and corn prices.
在过去 1,079 次看涨的天气事件之后,大豆 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.3%(54% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -1.4% 至 +2.0%),20 个交易日内为 +0.9%。
在过去 1,465 次看涨的天气事件之后,玉米 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.2%(54% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -1.4% 至 +1.9%),20 个交易日内为 +0.9%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件;仅描述已发生的情况,不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。