A developing La Niña is expected to form between October and December 2024, following a neutral phase. Brazil has seen temperatures 3°C to 5°C above average since August across more than half the country, with lower rainfall.
Chicago corn and soybean futures have started to rise on concerns about Brazilian crops.
Expected drought risk in southern Brazil and dry heat in producing regions supports corn and soybean prices and the feed complex outlook.
在过去 1,465 次看涨的天气事件之后,玉米 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.2%(54% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -1.4% 至 +1.9%),20 个交易日内为 +0.9%。
在过去 1,079 次看涨的天气事件之后,大豆 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.3%(54% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -1.4% 至 +2.0%),20 个交易日内为 +0.9%。
在过去 453 次看涨的天气事件之后,豆粕 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.5%(55% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -1.6% 至 +2.7%),20 个交易日内为 +0.5%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件;仅描述已发生的情况,不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。