
CBOT soybean futures rallied on July 31, with the August contract up 27-3/4 cents to $16.37 a bushel and the most-active contract gaining nearly 12% for the week, its biggest weekly climb since 1999. Support came from soymeal demand and forecasts of hot, dry weather into August during pod development.
Wheat futures eased as shipments through Ukraine's Black Sea ports advanced, though uncertainty remained.
Dry weather during the critical pod-setting stage threatens U.S. soybean yields, tightening supplies and lifting soymeal and soyoil prices for feed buyers. Progress on Black Sea grain shipments adds bearish pressure on wheat.
在过去 1,079 次看涨的天气事件之后,大豆 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.3%(54% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -1.4% 至 +2.0%),20 个交易日内为 +0.9%。
在过去 453 次看涨的天气事件之后,豆粕 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.5%(55% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -1.6% 至 +2.7%),20 个交易日内为 +0.5%。
在过去 184 次看涨的天气事件之后,豆油 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.3%(53% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -1.9% 至 +2.4%),20 个交易日内为 -0.5%。
在过去 334 次看跌的天气事件之后,小麦(SRW) 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 -0.2%(47% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -1.9% 至 +1.7%),20 个交易日内为 -0.2%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件;仅描述已发生的情况,不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。
Soybean futures gained nearly 12% for the week on hot, dry August forecasts and soymeal demand, confirming the rally, though dated July 31, just after the window.