
CBOT soybeans closed higher on forecasts of stressful US crop weather, with August beans reaching their highest since March. Hot and dry weather over the next 10 days was expected to significantly increase crop stress across the central and southern Midwest, while soymeal rose $3.50 and soyoil fell 0.26 cent.
Expected Midwest heat and dryness raise the risk of lower soybean yields and tighter meal supply, supporting soybean and soymeal prices. Soyoil weakness reflects a different balance in the oil complex.
在过去 1,079 次看涨的天气事件之后,大豆 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.3%(54% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -1.4% 至 +2.0%),20 个交易日内为 +0.9%。
在过去 453 次看涨的天气事件之后,豆粕 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.5%(55% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -1.6% 至 +2.7%),20 个交易日内为 +0.5%。
在过去 49 次看跌的天气事件之后,豆油 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 -0.5%(43% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -3.2% 至 +1.0%),20 个交易日内为 -0.3%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件;仅描述已发生的情况,不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。