
Rabobank's semi-annual Fertiliser Outlook says most fertiliser prices are returning to historical averages, with urea already below historical levels. Further fertiliser price cuts are expected over the rest of 2023, especially for phosphates.
Lower phosphate and urea costs improve feed-crop grower affordability and could support planting economics, but global fertiliser demand will take two to three years to recover to pre-pandemic levels.
历史可比事件尚不足,暂无法给出历史解读。
在过去 42 次看跌的报告事件之后,尿素 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.3%(57% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -1.9% 至 +3.3%),20 个交易日内为 +2.9%。
历史可比事件尚不足,暂无法给出历史解读。
在过去 35 次看跌的报告事件之后,DAP 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 0.0%(37% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -0.7% 至 +1.5%),20 个交易日内为 +0.6%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件;仅描述已发生的情况,不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。
Rabobank expects further price cuts especially for phosphates, reinforcing bearish sentiment, though it is a forward-looking outlook published at the end of the window.