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Feeder cattle prices are at levels not seen since summer 2015 due to a small national herd. The author traces the cattle cycle from the 2014 inventory low through the current tight supply.
A structurally small cow herd keeps feeder supplies scarce, which supports prices for feeder cattle and calves and strengthens demand for feed grains over the coming months.
在过去 21 次看涨的宏观事件之后,架子牛 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.2%(62% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -0.7% 至 +1.4%),20 个交易日内为 +2.4%。
在过去 28 次看涨的宏观事件之后,活牛 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 -0.3%(39% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -1.2% 至 +0.9%),20 个交易日内为 +1.7%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件;仅描述已发生的情况,不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。