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Oklahoma State economist Derrell Peel says increasingly tight cattle supplies will squeeze margins for stockers, feedlots, packers and retailers in coming months. Choice boxed beef is up over 14% year over year while retail beef prices are roughly flat.
Wholesale beef prices rising faster than retail signal that packers and feeders face margin pressure, which can limit how far cattle prices can rise and affects feeder demand.
在过去 21 次看涨的宏观事件之后,架子牛 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.2%(62% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -0.7% 至 +1.4%),20 个交易日内为 +2.4%。
在过去 28 次看涨的宏观事件之后,活牛 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 -0.3%(39% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -1.2% 至 +0.9%),20 个交易日内为 +1.7%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件;仅描述已发生的情况,不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。