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An Ohio State Extension summary of a January 2022 beef outlook talk by Dr. Andrew Griffith says US cow numbers are down due to drought west of the Mississippi and heifer and cull cow slaughter rose. Demand for US beef in export and domestic markets is described as strong, with China becoming the third-largest US beef importer in 2021.
A shrinking cow herd should support strong fed cattle and feeder prices into 2022-2024, though rising input costs weigh on margins.
在过去 28 次看涨的宏观事件之后,活牛 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 -0.3%(39% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -1.2% 至 +0.9%),20 个交易日内为 +1.7%。
在过去 21 次看涨的宏观事件之后,架子牛 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.2%(62% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -0.7% 至 +1.4%),20 个交易日内为 +2.4%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件;仅描述已发生的情况,不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。