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Australian wheat basis, the gap between domestic prices and Chicago wheat futures, has moved to a normal premium as expected production falls. The ABARES forecast is 26.2 million tonnes, and dry conditions are emerging across the country.
A narrowing discount to Chicago and a firmer basis signal tighter Australian wheat supply, which supports export and feed wheat prices and may lift competing feed grain values.
在过去 1,072 次看涨的天气事件之后,小麦(SRW) 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.2%(55% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -1.4% 至 +2.3%),20 个交易日内为 +0.3%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件;仅描述已发生的情况,不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。