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Australian Crop Forecasters estimate 2017-18 wheat production at 25.6 million tonnes, down about 24% from 33.6 million tonnes in 2016-17 and near the 10-year average of 22 million. Dry summer conditions in the southeast are weighing on confidence, while Western and South Australia benefited from above-average rain.
A sharp expected drop in Australian wheat supply could tighten export availability and support wheat prices, though strong global stocks limit the upside.
在过去 1,072 次看涨的天气事件之后,小麦(SRW) 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.2%(55% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -1.4% 至 +2.3%),20 个交易日内为 +0.3%。
历史可比事件尚不足,暂无法给出历史解读。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件;仅描述已发生的情况,不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。