USDA Livestock analyst Shayle Shagam presented the 2024 Livestock and Poultry Outlook at the 100th Outlook Forum on February 16. Red meat and poultry output is forecast to rise fractionally to 107 billion pounds, after 2023's first decline since 2014 driven by beef.
The beef cow herd is at its lowest since 1961.
Fractional growth in total meat output with beef still shrinking keeps cattle supplies tight, supporting beef prices. Gains in pork and poultry add supply competition for other meats.
在过去 268 次看涨的报告事件之后,活牛 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.3%(58% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -0.7% 至 +1.4%),20 个交易日内为 +1.7%。
在过去 61 次中性的报告事件之后,生猪(瘦肉型) 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 -0.4%(48% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -1.3% 至 +1.8%),20 个交易日内为 +2.1%。
历史可比事件尚不足,暂无法给出历史解读。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件;仅描述已发生的情况,不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。