
US phosphate prices have reached their highest levels since 2022 as the effective closure of the Strait of Hormuz disrupts seaborne fertilizer flows. Elevated US phosphate exports in the first quarter, including Mosaic shipments of about 201,000 metric tons of DAP and MAP outside North America, have tightened domestic supply.
Lawmakers and the president have raised concerns about fertilizer affordability.
Strait disruption removes a large share of seaborne urea and phosphate supply, pushing global prices up and leaving US farmers with higher input costs. Continued re-exports could keep domestic phosphate and nitrogen prices firm through spring.
在过去 114 次看涨的地缘政治事件之后,DAP 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.0%(50% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -0.3% 至 +1.2%),20 个交易日内为 +0.3%。
在过去 205 次看涨的地缘政治事件之后,尿素 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.4%(53% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -2.1% 至 +3.0%),20 个交易日内为 -0.4%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件;仅描述已发生的情况,不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。