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Urea barges at New Orleans traded roughly $50-80/st higher after the US-Israel strikes on Iran began on 28 February. Second-half March barges moved to $520-550/st fob.
Middle Eastern supply is at risk because of the Strait of Hormuz disruption.
The Middle East supplies a large share of global urea, so disrupted shipments before US spring application season tighten supply and push up nitrogen costs for corn growers. Higher fertilizer costs squeeze feed-grain margins.
在过去 205 次看涨的地缘政治事件之后,尿素 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.4%(53% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -2.1% 至 +3.0%),20 个交易日内为 -0.4%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件;仅描述已发生的情况,不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。