
USDA data show US range and pasture conditions finished the May-October season with 51% rated poor or very poor, the highest of the year and well above last year's 37%. Ratings were worse in the Great Plains and Southern Plains, which pushed cattle off grass and into feedlots earlier than normal.
Feeder steer prices have held steady at roughly $250-280/cwt since the start of the year.
Poor pasture conditions push cattle into feedlots sooner, raising near-term grain demand while shrinking the grazing base. Poor pastures also support feeder cattle prices by limiting supply.
在过去 21 次中性的天气事件之后,架子牛 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +1.7%(67% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -0.1% 至 +2.3%),20 个交易日内为 -0.2%。
在过去 1,465 次看涨的天气事件之后,玉米 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.2%(54% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -1.4% 至 +1.9%),20 个交易日内为 +0.9%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件;仅描述已发生的情况,不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。