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Elliott Dennis discusses how video auctions and CME feeder cattle futures indicate fall 2021 feeder prices. He cites worsening Western US drought forcing earlier cattle marketing and higher grain prices from low stocks and global corn production concerns, both of which can lower feeder prices.
Increased feeder supply from drought-driven early sales and weaker feedlot demand from higher corn costs point to lower feeder cattle prices this fall. Feed buyers face a costlier grain input.
在过去 29 次看跌的天气事件之后,架子牛 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.5%(62% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -0.5% 至 +2.6%),20 个交易日内为 +2.4%。
在过去 1,465 次看涨的天气事件之后,玉米 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.2%(54% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -1.4% 至 +1.9%),20 个交易日内为 +0.9%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件;仅描述已发生的情况,不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。