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APHIS confirmed New World screwworm in a cow in Chiapas, Mexico, in late November 2024, and US authorities suspended cattle trade while developing screening protocols. The goal is to resume trade in early January 2025.
The analysis estimates the suspension will cut US cattle imports by 150,000 to 170,000 head in late November and December.
Lost feeder inflows into Texas and Arizona feedlots tighten near-term supply, and feeder prices have already risen on the closure.
在过去 122 次看涨的疫病事件之后,架子牛 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.4%(60% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -1.0% 至 +1.6%),20 个交易日内为 +2.0%。
在过去 148 次看涨的疫病事件之后,活牛 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.4%(62% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -0.5% 至 +1.2%),20 个交易日内为 +1.4%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件;仅描述已发生的情况,不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。