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New World screwworm cases are accelerating in Mexico, with almost 700 detections reported this month according to USDA. The US has largely kept its live cattle import halt from Mexico in place since last fall.
A prolonged border closure keeps feeder cattle supply tight for US feedlots, supporting cattle and beef prices while the import halt continues.
在过去 148 次看涨的疫病事件之后,活牛 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.4%(62% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -0.5% 至 +1.2%),20 个交易日内为 +1.4%。
在过去 122 次看涨的疫病事件之后,架子牛 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.4%(60% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -1.0% 至 +1.6%),20 个交易日内为 +2.0%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件;仅描述已发生的情况,不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。
Accelerating screwworm detections in Mexico (~700 this month) reinforce the import halt, keeping feeder supply tight and bullish for cattle futures.