
China is reducing soybean meal use in animal feed under a three-year plan, cutting the inclusion rate from 14.5% toward 13% by 2025. Beijing has also approved rapeseed meal from new suppliers and signed a reported $900 million soybean meal deal with Argentina, priced up to $50/ton below US product.
Lower soymeal inclusion in China and diversification to Argentine and rapeseed supply reduce demand for US soybean meal and shift trade flows. The price effect is bearish for soymeal, with competing protein sources gaining share.
在过去 384 次看跌的贸易事件之后,豆粕 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 -0.2%(47% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -1.7% 至 +1.6%),20 个交易日内为 -0.5%。
在过去 803 次看跌的贸易事件之后,大豆 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.0%(51% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -1.7% 至 +1.7%),20 个交易日内为 +0.9%。
历史可比事件尚不足,暂无法给出历史解读。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件;仅描述已发生的情况,不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。